Death Valley, California 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

158
FXUS65 KVEF 060817
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
117 AM PDT Tue Oct 6 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Well above-normal temperatures will persist through Friday, with
  dangerous heat expected in Death Valley.

* Our next system brings cooler temperatures, gusty winds and
  precipitation chances this weekend into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...through Monday.

Broad ridging remains in place through the work week, keeping
temperatures well above normal (6-12 degrees) for early October. The
heat will be most pronounced in Death Valley National Park, where
highs near 110 and lows in the 80s yield major to extreme HeatRisk.
An Extreme Heat Warning remains in effect through Friday evening for
elevations below 2000` in the park. Elsewhere, minor to moderate
HeatRisk is anticipated with the above normal temperatures. There
are low chances (20%) for isolated showers and a few rumbles of
thunder in Lincoln County this afternoon, but otherwise dry
conditions persist.

The forecast becomes rather complicated over the weekend and into
early next week as multiple features interact with each other and
influence weather across the western US. The three features of note
are a shortwave coming out of western Canada, a cutoff low off the
CA coast, and Hurricane Rachel. Confidence is pretty high in
widespread gusty winds and cooler temperatures beginning Saturday.
The main uncertainty remains on the precipitation side. Latest
guidance has trended wetter, particularly the eastern half of the
CWA. The NBM and raw ensemble guidance have 20-50% chances of 0.50"+
generally over the Spring Mountains and points east (chances
increasing with eastward extent) during the Sunday-Monday timeframe.
Odds of 1"+ are 10-30% over the same area and time. Don`t want to
get too far ahead of ourselves, as predicting the interaction of the
3 features at this range is a tall task and small changes will make
a big difference in precipitation potential. However, this system
and forecast trends will certainly be something to watch, so stay
tuned.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Light
winds following typical diurnal directional patterns will continue
through the forecast period. At times, winds will vary in direction
due to the light speeds, but will favor the east in the afternoon
and the southwest overnight. Can`t rule out a gust over 15 kts (20
percent) from the east with the heating of the day. No operationally
significant cloud cover expected through the TAF period.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Light winds following
typical diurnal directional patterns will continue through the
forecast period. Expect occasional gusts to 15 kts with the heating
of the day at Las Vegas Valley TAF sites from the east... at KBIH
from the south-southeast... and at KDAG from the east. No
operationally significant cloud cover through the TAF period.

&&

.CLIMATE...Numerous climate locations have a forecast high
temperature and/or forecast warm low temperature within 3 degrees of
the daily record.

The table below shows the daily record maximum temperature and the
year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which records
are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast).

MAX           TUE, OCT 6  WED, OCT 7  THU, OCT 8  FRI, OCT 9
              Record(Yr)  Record(Yr)  Record(Yr)  Record(Yr)

Las Vegas     100(2024)   99(1978)*   98(2024)*   97(2024)*
Bishop        94(2024)    94(1965)*   95(1996)    93(2015)
Needles       111(2024)   107(2024)   107(2024)   104(1996)*
Daggett       105(2024)   102(2024)   101(1996)*  103(1980)
Kingman       100(2024)   99(2024)    98(1996)    98(1910)
Desert Rock   100(2024)   99(2024)    98(1996)*   97(1996)
Death Valley  110(2024)*  109(2024)*  112(1996)*  112(1996)

The table below shows the daily record warm minimum temperature and
the year the record was last set. An asterisk (*) denotes which
records are in jeopardy (within 3 degrees of the forecast).

WARM MIN      TUE, OCT 6  WED, OCT 7  THU, OCT 8  FRI, OCT 9
              Record(Yr)  Record(Yr)  Record(Yr)  Record(Yr)

Las Vegas     74(2024)*   75(2024)*   76(2024)*   72(2024)*
Bishop        52(2018)    57(1943)    51(1960)    61(2025)
Needles       77(2023)*   76(1947)*   76(2024)*   76(1988)*
Daggett       75(2024)    72(2024)*   69(1980)*   69(1996)*
Kingman       67(1949)*   69(1947)*   67(1960)*   68(1926)*
Desert Rock   66(1990)*   65(1980)*   70(2024)    65(1991)*
Death Valley  83(1943)*   80(1943)*   85(1964)*   78(2024)*

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Woods
AVIATION...Soulat
CLIMATE...Woods

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